Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.221397 5.698123 6.218015 6.830554 7.537027 8.331807 9.301465
2025-02-16 4.424381 5.066354 5.820081 6.784190 8.005562 9.531546 11.633611
2025-02-23 3.994324 4.723707 5.624429 6.846355 8.507578 10.764008 14.212053
2025-03-02 3.589653 4.338737 5.296453 6.651013 8.590695 11.400172 16.071799
2025-03-09 3.302008 4.062782 5.063732 6.530269 8.727419 12.099888 18.175806
2025-03-16 3.094397 3.867472 4.910852 6.489268 8.955686 12.958908 20.779794
2025-03-23 2.979844 3.784301 4.898893 6.642690 9.493995 14.419509 25.003997
2025-03-30 2.784316 3.571745 4.681062 6.454679 9.442871 14.828419 27.216148
2025-04-06 2.612819 3.380722 4.478138 6.266211 9.359689 15.153481 29.362865
2025-04-13 2.463375 3.211573 4.294454 6.088899 9.268932 15.440764 31.539891
2025-04-20 2.357251 3.098755 4.186984 6.024445 9.370172 16.135712 35.138221
2025-04-27 2.314239 3.075632 4.213896 6.185003 9.909996 17.891754 42.920895
2025-05-04 2.253396 3.028344 4.209092 6.308394 10.436215 19.866213 53.564618
2025-05-11 2.167380 2.938953 4.132763 6.301710 10.710664 21.358377 64.347661
2025-05-18 2.101931 2.876887 4.095373 6.360548 11.133820 23.401157 80.820360
2025-05-25 1.998815 2.749918 3.941527 6.185542 11.012609 23.880894 90.009965
2025-06-01 1.916132 2.651000 3.828299 6.077088 11.026612 24.783206 103.931364
2025-06-08 1.852370 2.578934 3.755783 6.040231 11.202628 26.275118 126.400178
2025-06-15 1.822218 2.559152 3.771214 6.178094 11.827216 29.574634 179.290874
2025-06-22 1.745390 2.459589 3.641318 6.009128 11.651673 29.923452 201.871644
2025-06-29 1.673419 2.365170 3.515775 5.839502 11.452164 30.130326 225.342847
2025-07-06 1.607393 2.278080 3.399075 5.679684 11.258208 30.311210 251.713820
2025-07-13 1.560449 2.220881 3.333027 5.621534 11.331096 31.656601 315.502692